Regional Spotlight: Portland, Maine
The Northeastern market remains competitive in 2020. As with every other U.S. city, Portland, Maine, entered summer 2020 pulled in many directions. Fortunately for Portland, as the most populous city in Maine with just over 66,000 residents (according to 2019 U.S. Census estimates), some of the tension in the market has been due to a competitive housing market and an economy that’s tentatively recovering. That economy, which has historically relied largely on the tourism and service sectors, may well turn out to be the sort of “diamond in the rough” that truly shines and grows in value under pressure. “Portland went through a big hospitality boom that led to a second-home boom in this market,” Fred Forsley, founder and owner of the local Shipyard Brewing Company and a real estate investor, said of the pre-coronavirus market and economy in the area. “Now, even more people are thinking about buying a condo in Portland and doing business here as well as vacationing here.” “We are experiencing an influx of buyers triggered by the need to get out of their current situation,” said Nancy Carleton, a managing broker at William Raveis Real Estate in Bath. Carleton said she is seeing buyers from most of New England and as far south as Pennsylvania. “People have discovered they can work from home and realized they may continue to work from home for the foreseeable future. That is freeing them up to buy more substantial properties as they plan on spending more time in Maine,” she said. Forsley, who developed eight residential condo units as part of a larger project near his brewery noted that many of his buyers spent about half their time in the Portland area and the other half in a major metropolitan area like New York City or Boston before the pandemic. However, with COVID-19 still ravaging many densely populated areas of the country, second-homeowners could well begin making more use of their vacation location. “[This spring] people definitely came to their second homes in Maine and then stayed to work remotely,” Forsley said. The result, in Portland at least, has been that development has continued wherever possible. At present, Forsley is involved in several development projects, including a waterfront site, high-end condos and the beer-themed Cambria “brewtel,” the first of its kind in Maine. Pandemic Partnerships Keep the Market Moving With Redfin describing the Portland market as “very competitive” at the end of July 2020, the city’s real estate market seems to be holding firm during the COVID-19 pandemic. “Homes sell for around list price and go pending in around 10 days,” Redfin agents reported, and June sales prices were up just over 8% year-over-year. Much of the competition for homes comes from outside the state, said agent Rebecca Kingsley. As an associate broker for the Hatcher Group of Keller Williams Realty, Kingsley specializes in helping clients from out of state. “If they are working remotely, why not bring that national dollar to Maine and be able to continue on with their Chicago salary?” she said. However, many local housing advocates are becoming concerned those out-of-market dollars could price Portland locals out of housing options. With a low inventory of available properties, the trend in rising prices seems unlikely to change direction any time soon. Maine Realtors Association president Tom Cole told the Portland Phoenix, “Maine’s for-sale inventory is down 19% compared to a year ago.” Inventory availability is unlikely to loosen up any time soon since so many Americans arenow actively considering moving out of denser urban areas into cities like those in Maine. One advantage for real estate investors looking to acquire properties in the area is the local planning board’s ongoing work during the pandemic. The determination to keep development moving represents a certain degree of hope for local homeowners wanting to acquire an affordable residence. Despite beginning virtual meetings in April, the city has still managed to approve about 150,000 square feet of construction ranging from residential developments to medical offices to utility projects. “At the beginning of the pandemic, we established a goal here in the city to support the continuation of city development approvals and ongoing construction activities while protecting public health,” said Greg Mitchell, Portland’s economic development director. The city pivoted quickly to remote services to keep developers actively working in the area. Local developers agreed to take on “the responsibility of public safety and the public health crisis” in exchange for continuing work. The result of this was that hundreds of local workers remained employed on job sites and many developers avoided breaking commitments made to investors. The city’s Port of Portland, the largest tonnage seaport in New England, has also remained open for most forms of cargo. As in most ports, cruise service has been suspended, but Maine ports are exploring options for permitting some cruise ships to dock in the area and possibly board a limited number of passengers. The presence of a large port like the Port of Portland provides additional economic insulation to the Portland area, since shipping, storage and related services are largely considered essential services and continue running during shutdowns. Portland’s Emerging Markets Could Stabilize a Service-Centered Economy While some of the nation’s highest-profile hospitality and service-industry markets are suffering record-breaking unemployment and economic meltdowns, Portland appears to be weathering the storm relatively well. Portland’s May unemployment rate, for example, was 10.3%, below the national average of 13.3% for the same period. Forsley credits job growth in biotech companies and the “nonseasonal” second-home market for much of the market’s stability. He explained that in Portland, Maine, second homes are not generally used solely along seasonal parameters, unlike many other northern vacation homes. Portland has also benefited from its state’s emerging life science and biotech markets and is home to many of the companies that are currently on the forefront of the worldwide effort to stop COVID-19. “Maine’s biomedical and life science companies are providing crucial tools in the global fight against COVID-19. High demand for
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