Leases, Mortgages and Court Proceedings in the Age of COVID-19

What are your options for seeking relief? American business was functioning rather well before the COVID-19 pandemic. Contracts were predictable to follow, based upon ordinary operations and expectations. COVID-19 changed all that. Overnight, American business had to contend with local and state executive orders to stay at home, engage in social distancing and substantially limit, if not cease, certain business operations. As a result, many companies have experienced a downturn in business. Based on shelter-in-place orders, some have closed and others have resorted to video consultations. Challenging Governmental Orders The decrease in business income has caused some tenants, such as Pier I, to file for Chapter 11 protection. Other businesses sought to challenge the municipal and state executive orders on constitutional grounds. Business owners have yet to successfully challenge Connecticut’s stay-at-home and related executive orders. A recent decision discussing Connecticut’s executive orders held that one restaurant and bar owner did not demonstrate sufficient evidence to support a temporary restraining order to stay enforcement of the orders (Amato v. Elicker, 2020 U.S. District Lexis 87758). Indeed, given the severity of the health crisis, successful challenges in hard-hit states may be few and far between. It is noteworthy that the governor of Wisconsin’s orders were reversed entirely on procedural grounds, due to a failure to follow that state’s rulemaking procedure in an emergency. However, beyond challenging governmental orders, private parties have litigation options. Litigation Options In the Pier I Chapter 11, the debtor, a tenant, sought to delay its rent obligations for a short period of time, by invoking the equitable powers of the bankruptcy court under Section 105. The landlords naturally objected, but the court sided with the debtor, noting the delayed rent payments would still be due, and insurance, utility and related payments would continue to be made by the debtor. It was also interesting the bankruptcy court noted the following:  While landlords may be able to take advantage of the funding recently made available under the Coronavirus Economic Stabilization Act of 2020 (CARES Act), the Debtors are unable to obtain such funding due to certain eligibility and solvency requirements associated with receiving funding under the CARES Act promulgated by the Small Business Administration. Courts will continue to deal with exercising equitable powers to administer bankruptcy and other cases involving leases and other contracts. The doctrines of frustration of purpose, impossibility of performance and force majeure may provide relief to parties who were unable to perform contractual obligations during the COVID-19 pandemic. Black’s Law Dictionary defines force majeure (French for “superior force”) as an event or effect that can be neither anticipated nor controlled. The term is commonly understood to encompass both acts of nature, (e.g., floods and hurricanes) and acts of man (e.g., riots, strikes and wars). Black’s Law Dictionary further defines force majeure clauses as contractual provisions that address circumstances in which contractual performance becomes impossible or impracticable due to events that could not have been foreseen and are not within a party’s control. It is important to note force majeure clauses do not generally provide for termination of an agreement; rather, they generally suspend a party’s obligation to perform under the agreement for the duration of the force majeure event. The rationale behind force majeure clauses is there will always be events that cannot be anticipated and addressed and for which neither party to an agreement is responsible. In such circumstances, it is equitable and reasonable to suspend performance and extend contract deadlines. However, contracts can and usually do include terms as to what qualifies as a force majeure event and what notice requirements must be met to obtain relief from required performance. Finding Resolution Both landlords and tenants should benefit from negotiations to resolve rent, expense and modified space issues. Increases in common operating expenses for cleaning leased space will be required to be compliant with current health requirements. Space may need to be modified to meet distancing guidelines, and some tenants, like restaurants, may need outdoor dining to stay afloat in the COVID-19 world or face closing their doors. A landlord with a rent abatement request from a tenant may be well advised to accommodate such a request. Some employers may be considering reducing existing office space as more employees work from home, so having a tenant vested in a long-term relationship should provide sufficient incentive to negotiate. Of course, there are always disputes that cannot be resolved. Parties wishing to go on the offensive can seek declaratory relief and damages from the courts. Courts faced with leases that lack a force majeure provision will be asked to invoke equity to solve contractual disputes. A landlord anticipating rents to satisfy mortgage obligations may need to exercise litigation rights immediately to avoid a default under a mortgage loan. The short-term federal stimulus programs may have alleviated some of those concerns for the time being. Once the federal stimulus process is exhausted, commercial property owners will see the tenants that remain as long-term business partners. For investors with commercial mortgages that may be in default, many state courts either are not permitting foreclosure judgments to enter or are not currently accessible for court proceedings. The bankruptcy courts appear to have continued their operations. At least one bankruptcy court has approved an auction of property during the COVID-19 pandemic. In that case, which involved a luxury single-family home on waterfront property, the court approved an auction during this pandemic. In its opinion, the Court stated as follows: Perhaps on the sunniest of summer days, when potential buyers would be wearing not just dark-tinted glasses, but rose-colored ones as well, such circumstances may converge to yield a substantially higher sale price. However, absent the presence of such optimal conditions, and given the administrative expense burn rate and the Debtor’s corresponding inability to cover those administrative costs, the stayed state court foreclosure, the major economic disruptions caused by the Covid-19 pandemic, and the logistical and health concerns associated with attempting to re-market and auction a substantially encumbered trophy property

Read More

How Long Will Rates Be So Low?

The recovery is dependent on employment and business growth, so rates will likely remain low for the foreseeable future. On March 15, 2020, in the wake of the coronavirus pandemic, the Federal Reserve cut the Fed funds rate to 0.25%. This reflects the rate at which commercial banks lend reserves to each other overnight, on an uncollateralized basis. The Fed’s goal is to encourage growth and spending. As the pandemic continued, the Fed maintained the target rate on June 10, 2020. Faced with increased unemployment and business closures, it is unlikely the Fed will raise rates during its July 28-29 meeting. Discount Window The Fed also cut the rate of emergency lending at the discount window for banks to 0.25%, and extended the loan terms to 90 days. The discount window plays a crucial role in supporting liquidity and stability of the banking system. It supports the flow of credit to both households and businesses. The discount window is part of the Feds as the “lender of last resort” to financial institutions. Its presence is to support bank’s liquidity needs. Banks generally reserve the option for extreme situations—exercising the right to borrow from the Fed can be an indication of financial distress. Quantitative Easing The Fed continues to make monetary moves to mitigate the economic turmoil caused by the pandemic. Pulling from its tactical bag of tricks, quantitative easing is being employed to purchase longer term government bonds and mortgage-backed securities. Purchasing securities increases domestic money supply and lowers rates by bidding up fixed-income securities. This measure is meant to lower borrowing costs and expands the central bank’s balance sheet. Mortgage Rates Mortgage rates will continue to remain low because of the low 10-year Treasury rate. There is a strong correlation between mortgage interest rates and Treasury yield. Coupled with the Federal Reserve lowering the target for the Fed funds rate to close to zero on March 15, 2020, mortgage rates will continue to remain below historical levels for some time. Average 30-year fixed rates, according to the Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey, have been below 3.25% since the third week of May. For the week of July 9, the survey reported a historic low of 3.03% with 0.8 fees and points. Rates in the market have not fallen as much as anticipated, largely due to heavy demand for refinancing. Lenders get higher than typical margins on loans when demand is strong. Mortgage banks and companies are at liberty to set the rates to consumers. Banks and mortgage companies are also tightening credit standards in an attempt to hedge against borrowers losing their jobs and requesting forbearance. According to the Mortgage Banker Association’s Market Composite Index, mortgage applications are up 33% year over year for the week ending July 3, 2020. The Refinance Index is 111% higher than the same period one year prior. The market is largely recovered from the brief COVID-19 induced pause of spring and summer, and the rest of 2020 is on course for strong purchase and refinance activity. Prime Lending Rate In July, the prime lending rate is a low 3.25%, down 2.25% from the same time a year ago. This is reducing the cost to borrow for consumers. Auto loans, credit cards, home equity lines of credit and other short-term loan products are based on this rate. Banks use the prime rate, plus a certain percentage to calculate the loan rate, based on the borrower’s financial stability, credit score and other factors. Automakers chose to embrace the pandemic as a way to boost sales. Zero percent car deals, payment deferrals and incentives emerged in the spring and early summer along with contactless purchases. Although these deals seem attractive, with the economy as unstable as it is, there is the potential for future job loss and auto loan defaults. Lenders allowing 90-day payment deferrals at purchase cause consumers to pay more over the life of the loan. Also, with longer term car loans, borrowers are more likely to be underwater a good portion of the loan term. Auto loan delinquencies hit a nearly 5% past due in fourth quarter 2019, the highest 90 delinquency rate in seven years. Subprime auto lending has been on the rise for a few years. Performance on auto loans improved in the first quarter of 2020 but $7.8 billion in loans received forbearance in April, according to S&P Global Ratings. Car values are tied to supply, and an increase in defaults may further suppress vehicle values, especially in the event of repossession and auctioning of bank-owned vehicles. Banks are tightening credit standards for auto lending. As of May, more than 60% of originations were extended to borrowers with a credit score of 700 or higher. With forbearance policies and unemployment benefits, analysts forecast auto delinquencies may not rise until the third quarter of 2020. S&P placed 33 subprime ABS deals on Credit Watch with negative outlooks in May, an indication of a potential downgrade if delinquency ratings increase. Credit card issuers are offering attractive zero percent introductory offers and balance rate transfers, looking to retain customers and attract new ones. The Fed reported theaverage interest rate on credit cards was 14.52% in May, as opposed to 15.09% in February. In 2019, consumers were confident and using credit. For the final quarter of 2019, credit card debt balances rose to $930 billion. By February, credit card balances exceeded $1 trillion for the first time in almost three years. The economy was strong, and Americans were spending and carrying balances. The pandemic has had a surprising effect on revolving debt. Consumer’s outstanding balances dropped by $24.3 billion in May, leaving $995.6 billion outstanding, according to the Federal Reserve. Sequestered at home, consumers spent less on credit than before the crisis. The Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s survey of consumer expectations released in June reported that consumers were more optimistic about making debt payments than they were in the April survey. So How Low, How Long? The Federal Reserve will

Read More

5G: Revenue Through the Roof

Telecom carriers have deployed 5G networks—could that mean an additional revenue stream for building and land owners? And owners bode well to determine if leasing their land and rooftops will bring them additional income. Every so often a technology comes along that revolutionizes society and the economy. The 5G wireless technology is one of those. And, after a year of what many refer to as the launching and relaunching of 5G wireless technology, we can finally believe the hype. Verizon, T-Mobile and AT&T are just a few of the carriers working to ensure their 5G network preparation maximizes the revolutionary opportunity that exists. What it Means for CRE The owners of commercial real estate buildings and land are consistently looking for additional revenue streams. That’s even more true during the current COVID-19 pandemic. Knowing that average leases range from $1,200-$3,300 monthly, or that an average 10-year advance payment ranges from $144,000 to almost $400,000 of additional revenue for qualified CRE buildings, there is certainly evidence that cell tower ground and rooftop leases will help owners send revenue through the roof. What Exactly Is 5G? 5G is the fifth generation of wireless technology. Most of us are driven and fixated on the need for speed. Whether ordering at a drive-thru, navigating highway traffic or heating food in a microwave, the sooner we can reach our objective, the better. The same is true when it comes to data. Once upon a time, many of us would log on to our computers and select options that would produce the familiar dial tone of a dial-up connection. Our patience would earn us the satisfaction of the dial tone coming to an epic ending as imagery and text crawled slowly down our screens. Telecom providers like AT&T and Verizon have shown speeds past 1 gigabyte per second. That’s up to 100 times speedier than a typical cellular connection and faster than an actual fiber-optic cable going into a home. Global Workplace Analytics recently provided their best estimate that 25%-30% of the workforce will be working from home multiple days a week by the end of 2021. The download capabilities of 5G at an employee’s home will easily outperform the speeds in the office if the employer chooses not to meet or exceed the offerings of 5G in the workplace. Downloading large files fast is certainly a common ground for both work and work-from-home needs. Resilience during the coronavirus pandemic and the ever-accelerating build-out of 5G network, make cell tower real-estate investment trusts an attractive investment too. 5G also differs from previous generations of cellular technology with network latency. Latency is the time it takes a set of data to move between two points. 5G shortens the amount of time it takes to travel. Gamers renting in properties that have 5G will be delighted to avoid high latency, which causes lag and inevitably reveals the delay between the action of the gamers and the real responses within the game. The Benefits of 5G The performance benefits of faster speeds and low latency are as obvious as the choice between a property with 5G connectivity versus one without, but at a comparable rental rate. The not-so-obvious benefits may be surprising. Remote surgery is arguably the most exciting and surprising benefit. Imagine surgeons being able to use surgical robots to perform a procedure in a facility far away. The advanced imaging guides the surgeon. The lag time currently found in 4G would be too great. The ability to help specialists save lives and attend to more patients in critical conditions is what 5G brings to the operating table. Consider the future of self-driving automobiles being developed alongside 5G, using sensors to ping the network and communicate with other vehicles. Ultimately, it helps with collision avoidance because it knows where every car is. Manufacturers can develop more productive and efficient factories. Farmers can sustain ideal conditions for growing and raising food. Smart Cities will use 5G to power the network infrastructure, from the grid to the water supply. Combining technology with services and infrastructure will simplify the lives of residents who are open to becoming early adopters of the “smart city” as a practice, and not just a theory. The Ground Game on Cell Tower Leases Although owners of commercial property generally think of leasing their rooftop with 5G apparatus, the broad reference also relates to ground leases. Cell tower lease rates vary greatly. The rent is derived from myriad factors, including construction limitations, location, network needs, population density, etc. The cell tower lease agreement between the carriers and the landowners allows the tower companies to use the land in exchange for rent in a long-term agreement. Negotiations will take place before the installation, at a renewal date or during a lease buyout discussion. CRE property owners play a part in the solution of some of the challenges 5G is still facing. Pricing and designing systems to use 5G are both major concerns. The challenge of widespread coverage is critical. As networks develop, carriers’ need to lease the property owners’ site is an opportunity for owners to add income. The era of “smart cities” is also the era of “smart leases.” A smart cell tower lease should maximize monthly revenue, and it should also minimize terms that will have a negative impact on future development, financing or disposition of your property in the long term. The time value of money is always a highly weighted consideration. A lease can last 5, 10 or upwards of 30 years. A solid lease is provisioned for flexibility to adapt to changing conditions during the life of the lease. For example, there may be a need to relocate the cell tower or relocate access or utility easements on the property. Or, the lease could address potential changes in the insurance, liability, environmental and other sections of the lease, particularly over 20 or 30 years. The language regarding the ability to assign, sell or transfer the lease is also important. Is the lease

Read More

What to Expect in Changing Times

When times change, people change too. Bob Dylan famously sang, “The times they are a’changin.’” We can certainly say they’re a’changin’ as a result of COVID-19’s business as unusual. Here are just a few. Impact of Working From Home People are becoming accustomed to working from home. This means we’re going to see a lot of open commercial spaces. Change always inspires creative entrepreneurs. We’re going to see a tremendous number of zoning changes primarily in commercial with mixed use. We’ll see shopping malls turned into condo projects, perhaps to accommodate people aged 55 and older, or perhaps a group of millennial entrepreneurs who envision a hub where everybody can share the space. We’ll see strip malls become mixed use, some even including residential space in order to get those properties filled.  Some families will continue to home school their children, which may impact the future location of schools. The Great Reckoning Because many more people are comfortable using their homes as satellite offices now, a trend that once saw people flowing to the city core will now see them moving back to the suburbs. People have realized they don’t mind an hour and a half drive because they’re not doing it five days a week. They want a better quality of life and work/life balance. They’re saying, “My world’s not the same anymore.” Years ago, my oldest brother was a nurse who ran a national home health care organization and was a former president of the American Nurses Association. In a quest for a better work/life balance, he left everything behind and moved to Costa Rica. He got a part-time job working six weeks on and six weeks off in California. His interesting and diverse assignments included working on an Indian reservation and in a hospital. He ended up making more money working this rotation and enjoying an excellent quality of life than he did running a national organization. He decided not to wait for the next thing to happen to actually live his life.  I’m witnessing this same mindset today as people around the world reassess what’s really important during this unusual time.  Like my brother, many people are saying, “I’m not going to wait to start living my life.” And now that they’ve been forced to reduce their working hours to 32 or 24 per week, they’re realizing they can actually make do on that income. Many will forego returning to the pre-pandemic hustle and choose instead to live simpler lives. Waking up to Community People move because of their circumstances. Traditionally, those circumstances included earning more or less money, relocating for a job, adding to their family or becoming empty nesters. But now people are analyzing their place in a world that became more humanized overnight.  People became neighbors again. They became part of a community. They were “all in this together.” There are countless stories of people genuinely helping and connecting with one another. Since they’ve been home, they’ve had time to think about: What do I really want for the rest of my life? What do I really want for my family? What do I really want my lifestyle to be? The right answer for some people is to move to a smaller home because they’ve realized they don’t need all their space.  For others, suburban McMansions will provide the solution. Instead of a cramped three-bedroom home, they will opt for a spacious home with four or five bedrooms so they can have a home office.  People will deliberately plan multigenerational households—and not just because their millennial kids moved back home.  Some Gen Xers will choose to live with their parents. After being separated from them during the pandemic, they will want to be close and not want to waste the time they have left. Generations will pull together. Opportunities for Real Estate Professionals Real estate brokerages and agents will shift to meet these needs. We’re certainly seeing more brokerage owners considering mergers and acquisitions because they don’t want to jump back into the fray. A lot of them with smaller brokerages simply don’t want to keep up with the lightning speed of technology. They’re tired. Now that they’ve experienced a lull in business, they’re looking for alternatives that allow them to transition successfully and ensure their agents are cared for. Agents, too, are moving because of their circumstances. Pre-pandemic, even if they were unhappy with the daily grind of making the next sale, they were reluctant to make a change. But the Universe forced us all to change. Suddenly we had to stay at home.  Character isn’t made in a crisis—it’s revealed. Many agents aren’t happy with the character they’re seeing in their leaders during this time. Because they don’t feel appreciated or heard, they’re assessing their options. Agents who didn’t produce or pay attention to market knowledge will disappear. Those who remain will need to leverage technology, stay current with knowledge of the market and learn to read trends. Those who are able to do so will be able to identify and seize windows of opportunity for their clients. Agents who are paying attention to the trends are keeping a close eye on planning boards and municipalities. As we see zoning changes, we’ll see business changes. Paying attention to zoning changes on shopping malls and being proactive might mean you can represent the condos.  Changes to businesses will impact employees, which may lead to an opportunity for a proactive agent to educate them about their home ownership and refinancing options. The next few months will shine a light on who has those skill sets. Agents will need to bring their A-game to be the solution for their prospects and clients. Accurate, thorough market knowledge combined with a focus on the needs of the person they’re serving will be key differentiators. For example, one of our agents was helping a client find the right location for retirement. The ideal spot happened to be out of town, so the agent referred the client

Read More