ICE First Look at Mortgage Performance

Continued Improvement in April Leads to Fewest Serious Delinquencies in 18+ Years

  • The national delinquency rate fell to 3.09% in April – its second lowest level on record behind only March 2023’s record low of 2.92% – marking a 22 basis point (bps) improvement from the same time last year
  • Serious delinquencies (loans 90+ days past due but not in active foreclosure) improved to their best level since August 2005, down -17K (-4.0%) from March and -84K (-16.8%) year over year
  • The number of borrowers a single payment past due dropped by 30K to hit an 8-month low, while 60-day delinquencies fell 6K to their lowest level in 10 months
  • The inflow of new 30-day lates along with rolls to later stages of delinquency improved from March, while cures were down among both early and late stage delinquencies
  • Foreclosure starts declined -0.8% from March, pushing the number of loans in active foreclosure to its lowest level since January 2022 – some 30% below (-84K) pre-pandemic levels
  • Though the 5.9K foreclosure sales completed nationally in April represented a 1.5% month-over-month increase, they remain at roughly half pre-pandemic norms
  • Prepayment activity rose to its highest level since August 2023 due to a seasonal upswing in home sales, despite consumers still facing rate-driven affordability and refinance headwinds

Intercontinental Exchange, Inc., a leading global provider of technology and data, reports the following “first look” at April 2024 month-end mortgage performance statistics derived from its loan-level database representing the majority of the national mortgage market.

Data as of April 30, 2024

Total U.S. loan delinquency rate (loans 30 or more days past due, but not in foreclosure): 3.09%
Month-over-month change: -3.28%
Year-over-year change: -6.63%
 
Total U.S. foreclosure pre-sale inventory rate: 0.37%
Month-over-month change: -3.31%
Year-over-year change: -16.42%
 
Total U.S. foreclosure starts: 26,000
Month-over-month change -0.83%
Year-over-year change: 4.01%
 
Monthly prepayment rate (SMM): 0.52%
Month-over-month change: 8.39%
Year-over-year change: 18.83%
 
Foreclosure sales: 5,900
Month-over-month change: 1.55%
Year-over-year change: – 7.87%
 
Number of properties that are 30 or more days past due, but not in foreclosure: ​ 1,658,000
Month-over-month change: -53,000
Year-over-year change: -88,000
 
Number of properties that are 90 or more days past due, but not in foreclosure: 417,000
Month-over-month change: -17,000
Year-over-year change: -84,000
 
Number of properties in foreclosure pre-sale inventory: 199,000
Month-over-month change: -6,000
Year-over-year change: -35,000
 
Number of properties that are 30 or more days past due or in foreclosure: 1,857,000
Month-over-month change: -59,000
Year-over-year change: -123,000
Top 5 States by Non-Current* Percentage
Mississippi:7.48%
Louisiana:7.24%
Alabama:5.38%
West Virginia:4.81%
Arkansas:4.79%
  
Bottom 5 States by Non-Current* Percentage
Oregon:2.02%
Montana:1.94%
Idaho:1.92%
Washington:1.89%
Colorado:1.80%
 
Top 5 States by 90+ Days Delinquent Percentage
Mississippi:1.92%
Louisiana:1.71%
Alabama:1.42%
Arkansas:1.21%
Georgia:1.10%
 
Top 5 States by 12-Month Change in Non-Current* Percentage
New Hampshire:-16.06%
Alaska:-14.35%
Rhode Island:-13.46%
District of Columbia:-13.36%
Kentucky:– 13.03%
  
Bottom 5 States by 12-Month Change in Non-Current* Percentage
South Dakota:0.37%
Louisiana:0.08%
Arizona:-0.12%
Arkansas:-0.83%
Tennessee:-1.56%
  
*Non-current totals combine foreclosures and delinquencies as a percent of active loans in that state.
Notes:
1) Totals are extrapolated based on ICE’s McDash loan-level database of mortgage assets.
2) All whole numbers are rounded to the nearest thousand, except foreclosure starts and sales, which are rounded to the nearest hundred.

The company will provide a more in-depth review of this data in its monthly Mortgage Monitor report, which includes an analysis of data supplemented by detailed charts and graphs that reflect trend and point-in-time observations. The Mortgage Monitor report will be available online at https://www.icemortgagetechnology.com/resources/data-reports by June 3, 2024.

For more information about gaining access to ICE’s loan-level database, please send an email to Mortgage.Monitor@bkfs.com.

Source: Intercontinental Exchange

Author

Share