Redfin Reports The Number of Renter Households Is Growing Three Times Faster Than Homeowner Households

San Jose, CA, Los Angeles and San Diego have the highest shares of renter households, while Cape Coral, FL, Charleston, SC and Columbia, SC have the lowest The number of renter households rose 2.7%, in the third quarter year over year, to a record 45.6 million. That’s according to a new report from Redfin (redfin.com), the technology-powered real estate brokerage. That rate of growth is three times faster than the 0.9% increase in homeowner households, which now total a record 86.9 million. The 2.7% increase—representing 1.18 million additional renter households—was the second fastest pace since 2015, only trailing the first quarter’s 2.8% rate. Renter households have formed faster than homeowner households for the past four quarters as the cost of buying a home rose faster than the cost of renting. The median asking rent was up 0.6% year over year in September, but rents have remained largely flat for the past two years—becoming more affordable as wages grew at around 4%. In contrast, home prices climbed 6% year over year in September and have grown more than 10% in the past two years. Highlighting the affordability barriers that exist for prospective homeowners, just 2.5% of U.S. homes changed hands in the first eight months of 2024—the lowest rate in decades. “Affordable housing has been at the forefront of this election cycle because so many people are struggling to see how they will ever become homeowners—especially those from younger generations,” said Redfin Senior Economist Sheharyar Bokhari. “With home prices at record highs and mortgage rates remaining elevated, renting is increasingly the only viable choice for many young people and families. Building more homes will help address that, but we also have to recognize that Gen Z and future generations may not view homeownership as a life goal and the rentership rate may continue to rise for years to come.” New multifamily units are being completed at a record pace Part of the reason rents have remained stable—and renting has become more attractive to many—is the boom in multifamily construction over the past two years. The country is adding new multifamily housing units at an annual rate of 647,000 (as of the third quarter)—the fastest pace in records dating back to 1994. The recent boom in multifamily construction helped meet surging demand in some areas—especially in Sun Belt states—but builders are now pumping the brakes. Permits to build multifamily housing units were down 16% year over year in September, and down 47% from the post-pandemic high in February 2023—which was the highest mark in nearly 40 years. More than half the households in San Jose and Los Angeles rent Nationwide, just over one-third (34.4%) of households in the U.S. are renter households—a figure that has remained the same for the past three quarters. The rentership share is highest in metros in California and in New York City, where homes are generally more expensive to buy. San Jose, CA has a rentership rate of 52%, the highest among the 75 largest U.S. metropolitan areas. It’s followed by Los Angeles (50.8%), New York (49.1%), San Diego (48%) and Fresno, CA (47.4%). Rentership rates are lower in metros where, historically, it’s been more affordable to buy a home. In Cape Coral, FL, 21.8% of households are renter households—the lowest share among the metros Redfin analyzed. It’s followed by Charleston, SC (23.7%), Columbia, SC (24.5%), Allentown, PA (27.2%) and Detroit (28.2%). To view the full report, including charts, methodology and additional metro level data, please visit: https://www.redfin.com/news/renter-household-growth-q3-2024

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CoreLogic: Annual Home Price Slowdown Continues in September

CoreLogic®, a leading global property information, analytics and data-enabled solutions provider, released the CoreLogic Home Price Index (HPI™) and HPI Forecast™ for September 2024. U.S. home price growth continued to cool, slowing to 3.4% year-over-year in September. Compared with the month prior, home prices rebounded to post a very slight uptick (0.02%) following months of modest monthly declines. Taken together, home price levels have been relatively flat since late summer. Besides the uncertainty regarding the U.S. election and mortgage rate volatility, the mixed signals around the current state of the U.S. economy may be dampening demand and price appreciation. According to the latest numbers from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, the economy added just 12,000 jobs in October 2024, the fewest in almost four years. On the other hand, the most recent consumer spending data showed solid continued spending and an upbeat consumer outlook. “Like much of the housing market at the moment, home prices remained relatively flat coming into the fall,” said CoreLogic Chief Economist Dr. Selma Hepp. “Despite some improved affordability from lower mortgage rates during August, homebuyers mostly kept on the sidelines and decided to wait out the mortgage rate drop for a potentially better opportunity next year, when the current volatility, uncertainty surrounding the election’s outcome, and the impact on longer-term rates may be slightly clearer. And while the mortgage rate and economic outlook is full of questions, home prices are likely to maintain their leveled path until early next year when buyers return to the housing market.” Top Takeaways: The next CoreLogic HPI press release, featuring October 2024 data, is scheduled to be issued on December 3, 2024, at 8 a.m. EST. Source: CoreLogic

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Fred Matera Promoted to Chief Executive Officer of CoreVest

CoreVest American Finance Lender, LLC (“CoreVest”), a leading lender to residential real estate investors nationwide and a division of Redwood Trust, Inc. (“Redwood”), is pleased to announce the promotion of Fred Matera to Chief Executive Officer. A tenured leader at Redwood, Fred has served as CoreVest’s Co-Head for the last year and has been an integral part of Redwood’s leadership team since 2019. In his new role, Fred will continue to report to Dash Robinson, Redwood’s President. As Chief Executive Officer of CoreVest, Fred will be responsible for overseeing all aspects of CoreVest’s operating strategy, including product growth and distribution. His focus will also include driving innovation and expanding distribution channels, ensuring that CoreVest remains committed to delivering exceptional value to its customers and stakeholders. Fred has demonstrated extensive leadership in managing both operating and investment platforms, most recently as Chief Investment Officer of Redwood in addition to his role as Co-Head of CoreVest. During this time, he has expanded CoreVest’s operating footprint, driving forward strategies that have significantly enhanced the platform’s market position. Fred boasts over 30 years of experience in residential lending and fixed income markets, including the last six with Redwood where he also spent time leading Redwood’s Residential Consumer Mortgage Banking platform. “I am pleased to announce the promotion of Fred Matera to Chief Executive Officer of CoreVest,” said Christopher Abate, Chief Executive Officer of Redwood. “Fred’s proven track record and market expertise will be instrumental as CoreVest enters a new stage of growth. With the market demanding more of CoreVest’s products and services, the business is poised to scale under Fred’s leadership.” “I am honored to take on this role and lead such a talented team,” said Fred Matera. “I look forward to building on our successes and exploring new opportunities that will support our borrowers and propel CoreVest forward.”

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Redfin Reports 28% of Houses For Sale Are Newly Built, the Lowest Share in 3 Years

New-construction homes are making up a smaller portion of total inventory as builders back off and more homeowners list their houses for sale Newly built homes made up 28% of single-family homes for sale nationwide in the third quarter, the lowest level in three years, according to a new report from Redfin (redfin.com), the technology-powered real estate brokerage. That’s down from 30.5% a year earlier and a record-high 34.4% at the start of 2022. The share of houses for sale that are newly built has dropped from its peak for several reasons: Still, newly built homes make up a significantly higher portion of for-sale inventory than before the pandemic. That’s because the share shot up so much during the pandemic, going from roughly 17% in 2019 to nearly 30% by the end of 2021. Newly built homes have made up an outsized portion of homes for sale in the last four years because the supply of new-construction homes soared in 2022 and 2023, while the supply of existing homes dwindled. Inventory of existing homes fell over that period as mortgage rates rose and the lock-in effect took hold. The surge in newly built homes, meanwhile, was caused by builders responding to robust homebuying demand brought on by ultra-low mortgage rates and remote work. While building has since slowed, builders are still completing projects they started in the past few years. Looking forward, the share of inventory made up of newly built homes may fall slightly further as permits dwindle. But the share should remain higher than pre-pandemic levels because mortgage rates are likely to remain elevated, keeping the supply of existing homes from surging. To view the full report, including a chart, please visit: https://www.redfin.com/news/q3-2024-new-construction-homes/ Contacts Contact RedfinRedfin Journalist Services:Isabelle Novakpress@redfin.com

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Buying like it’s 2021: Nearly half of recent buyers have a mortgage rate below 5%

New Zillow survey data finds many buyers are securing lower mortgage rates from home builders, sellers, or borrowing from friends or family members Almost half of recent home buyers with a mortgage secured a rate below 5%, a recent Zillow® survey shows. Current mortgage rates are hovering near 7%, yet many home buyers who purchased a home in the past year thought outside the box to unlock homeownership. Mortgage rates surged from historic lows of 2.65% in 2021 to decade-long highs of 7.79% by the fall of 2023. This directly impacted home shoppers’ buying power. The typical mortgage payment rose 115% from pre-pandemic times to a recent peak in May 2024. The unpredictable mortgage-rate landscape presents hurdles for home buyers, restricting their choices and, in some cases, preventing them from entering the housing market altogether. Despite these challenges, determined buyers are finding creative ways to afford their dream of homeownership. Among recent buyers, 45% managed to secure a rate below 5%, Zillow’s survey data shows. More than one-third (35%) of these recent buyers could get a lower rate because the seller or home builder offered them special financing. About one-quarter either made their offer contingent on a rate buydown (26%), refinanced to a lower rate after buying (25%), or borrowed from a friend or family member (23%). “This surprising finding really underscores the creativity of both buyers and sellers navigating today’s dynamic real estate market,” said Amanda Pendleton, Zillow’s home trends expert. “Buyers are finding innovative ways to secure a lower mortgage rate, but sellers are also coming up with financing solutions to make their property more attractive to a potential buyer. Prospective home buyers should explore all the ways they can reduce their monthly payment to bring homeownership within reach.” Here are a few ways to secure a lower mortgage rate: Focus on credit score. A higher credit score often leads to a lower interest rate. Buyers should prioritize boosting their credit score and maintaining it all the way through closing by refraining from opening new lines of credit or making large purchases. One way to build credit is through Zillow’s rent reporting service. It allows renters who pay their rent on Zillow to build their credit when they make on-time rent payments. Additionally, Zillow Home Loans’s BuyAbilitySM tool offers buyers a personalized assessment of suitable home prices and monthly payments that align with their financial capabilities. By considering factors like the buyer’s credit score, income and down payment, and by using current mortgage rates, this tool provides home shoppers with a comprehensive understanding of their purchasing potential. Look into rate buydowns and mortgage points. Consider mortgage rate buydowns or purchasing mortgage points to lower interest costs on your loan. A rate buydown involves an initial payment for reduced rates in the early loan years, while buying points results in ongoing savings on monthly payments throughout the term of the loan. When buying a new-construction home, the builder may cover these costs as incentives. If this is not the case, negotiating with the seller or builder is always an option. It’s crucial for home buyers to evaluate the break-even timeline — the point at which the savings from these strategies equal the associated costs. For personalized guidance, buyers should seek advice from a trusted loan officer. Put more money down. Increasing the down payment decreases the loan size and the risk for the lender, which may mean they can offer a lower mortgage rate. However, saving for a down payment to even qualify for a loan can be a significant challenge for home buyers — 44% of first-time buyers used either a gift or loan from family or friends. But resources are available to alleviate the burden. By answering a few simple questions, buyers can see the available down payment assistance programs they may qualify for on Zillow listings. Among recent first-time buyers who used a mortgage, 60% received some sort of down payment assistance. Consider house hacking. If it aligns with a buyer’s lifestyle, renting out rooms in their home to produce rental income can reduce their mortgage rate. Recent mortgage buyers who included projected rental income in their application were more likely to secure a mortgage rate below 5% than those who did not. Check out nontraditional loan types. A 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage is the most common loan type, but there are others. An adjustable rate mortgage (ARM) features an initial lower interest rate that can change to the market rate after a fixed period, typically three, five, seven or 10 years. The primary risk of an ARM is that rates could be higher when the initial period ends, leading to higher payments. Another option for home buyers to explore is a shorter loan term, such as a 15-year mortgage. These shorter loans come with much higher monthly payments, because the loan is being paid off more quickly, but markedly lower interest rates, meaning less of a homeowner’s monthly payment is going toward interest. To assess affordability and determine the best course of action, consulting a loan officer is recommended to make a well-informed decision tailored to a borrower’s personalized monthly budget. MortgageRate Share ofRecentMortgageBuyers* Share ofRecentMortgageBuyers WhoReceivedDownPaymentAssistance* Share ofRecentMortgageBuyers WhoFinanced Withan ARM* Share ofRecentMortgageBuyers With aLoan TermShorter Than30 Years* Share ofRecentMortgageBuyers WithProjectedRentalIncome* < 2% 2 % 4 % 4 % 2 % 3 % 2%–2.99% 4 % 6 % 4 % 7 % 6 % 3%–3.99% 16 % 24 % 21 % 23 % 22 % 4%–4.99% 22 % 29 % 28 % 33 % 28 % 5%–5.99% 20 % 19 % 22 % 21 % 20 % 6%–6.99% 24 % 12 % 16 % 10 % 14 % 7% + 12 % 6 % 6 % 5 % 7 % NET: < 5% 45 % 63 % 57 % 65 % 59 % NET 5% + 55 % 37 % 43 % 35 % 41 % *Source: Zillow Consumer Housing Trends Report 2024 SOURCE Zillow, Inc.

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Property Shield

Data Security Firm is Changing the Face of Fraud Protection by Carole VanSickle Ellis Property Shield is, by any definition, “new to the scene” of data security. In fact, the company launched in February of last year. However, said the company’s co-founder and CEO Alex Fahsel, the data security firm hit the ground running by tackling emerging issues around fraud, data security, cyber security, and even artificial intelligence. “As much as we love all this technology, it can be used for all sorts of nefarious things,” Fahsel said. “Property Shield specializes in using this technology for good and to stay ahead of scammers and fraud. Cybersecurity has historically been a ‘cat-and-mouse’ game where the good actors have always been a few steps behind. We started Property Shield to give those good actors the opportunity to stay ahead.” “We are basically the data police,” explained Luke Lind, co-founder and CTO of the company. “Our system is constantly monitoring the web for potential fraudulent listings, and whenever it finds one, we immediately notify whichever client owns the data.” At the same time as the notification is going out, Property Shield tackles the process of having the fraudulent listing removed from consumer access as soon as possible. “The combination of these two workflows helps reduce illegal activity at the physical property level,” Lind continued. “Because our system is able to identify and remove fraud listings within hours, we can effectively cut down on the threat they pose to the property.” That threat is growing exponentially larger every day as cyber criminals, already frighteningly internet savvy, add psychological manipulation to their roster of skills. According to the Boston Division of the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI), rental scams increased 64% between 2020 and 2021. Cumulative losses exceeded $350 million in 2021 alone. “The actual losses are most likely much higher,” the bureau added, “because many people are hesitant to report they were scammed.” “These are very sophisticated crime syndicates that push these scams and frauds,” Fahsel said. He explained that large syndicates of cyber criminals based in countries with low or no regulation on this behavior may run hundreds of variations on dozens of distinctly “stamped” scams, from romance scams to employment scams to rental fraud. When one strategy begins to work particularly well, the lessons from that strategy may then be applied across the board. There is a great deal of intense analytics involved. “Cyber criminals look closely for certain criteria to indicate if a certain geographical region or market is ripe for real estate scams,” Fahsel said. “When they home in on a market, they will check net domestic migration patterns, for example, to determine where a large volume of people is moving. Then, they tailor the scam to fit the mindset of the people moving into or out of those areas.” Because an individual moving into a new area may not have a clear idea about the nature of the rental landscape, they are particularly prone to falling for what Fahsel calls “too-good-to-be-true” offers. “Scammers compile data about properties, rental prices, images, and listings, then hire virtual assistants or even college students looking for part-time jobs to put together these offers and facilitate the exchange of security deposits, rent, or other funds,” he explained. This makes the entire process even muddier for law enforcement because there are often innocent parties involved in the middle of the process between the victim and the cybercriminal. “The ‘employees’ get scammed too, because they frequently never get paid,” Fahsel noted. The “salaries” for these positions are also often too good to be true; the Federal Trade Commission estimates in 2022, job seekers lost $68 million in labor, lost income, and fraudulent fees associated with fake jobs. Cutting Off Fraud at the Source Because most real estate scams are carried out by large syndicates running multiple scams and multiple variations on these scams in multiple locations around the country, identifying trends early and acting preemptively to identify and eliminate fraud related to an investment portfolio is one of the few ways to make a significant dent in the potential money, time, and opportunity lost when a real estate scam succeeds. There are multiple victims at every point in the scam, from the property owner to the “employees” and “interns” working unwittingly for the scammer to the renter hoping to establish a household in the property shown by the fraudulent listing. According to Georgia Legal Aid, an organization based in Atlanta, Georgia, which is currently a hotbed of rental fraud, the two primary types of rental listing scams actively deployed at present included renting properties that the scammer is not authorized to rent and creating property listings for properties that do not exist and soliciting deposits or application fees using those listings. However, this simple explanation barely scratches the surface when it comes to the ingenuity and brainpower cybercrime syndicates dedicate to this type of fraud, Fahsel said. “These are teams of people who wake up every day and think, ‘How do we scam these people? How can we hack the system and take advantage of it?’ If they put half the effort they do into pushing these scams into a legitimate business that would help people, they could do really well,” Fahsel explained. “Sadly, that is not the route they take, so Property Shield spends every waking moment thinking about how to stop them.” Lind added, “Our system stands out from other fraud-prevention platforms because we are using the same tools that the scammers are using to fight them. Machine learning is a critical component of our system, and we have been ‘training’ our models for a long time.” To “train” a machine learning model, the algorithm is “fed” data from which it can learn. The more training the model receives, the better it becomes at identifying threats and classifying them as such. Lind noted, “Our model is also multi-modal, meaning it can process multiple mediums of data, including text and images.” This enables Property

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