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Prices keep rising because this spring’s inventory is lower than usual. The sliver of good news for buyers is that mortgage rates have declined slightly The median U.S. home-sale price hit a record $387,600 during the four weeks ending May 19, up 4% from a year earlier. That’s according to a new report from Redfin (redfin.com), the technology-powered real estate brokerage. Weekly average mortgage rates dipped to 7.02% from a five-month high of 7.22% at the start of the month, bringing the median monthly housing payment to $2,854, roughly $20 shy of April’s all-time high. High housing costs pushed pending home sales down 4.2% year over year, the biggest decline in three months (except the prior 4-week period, when sales declined 4.4%). Prices keep rising despite declining sales because there aren’t enough homes on the market: New listings are up about 8% year over year, but inventory remains lower than typical spring levels. Many homeowners are staying put because they would rather hold onto their relatively low mortgage rate than move up to a bigger and/or better home. “Move-up buyers feel stuck because they’re ready for their next house, but it just doesn’t make financial sense to sell with current interest rates so high,” said Sam Brinton, a Redfin Premier agent in Salt Lake City, UT. “The homeowners listing right now are often doing so because they need to: One of my clients is selling because of a family emergency, and another couple is selling because they had a baby and simply don’t have enough room. Buyers should take note that many of today’s sellers are motivated; if a home doesn’t have other offers on the table, offer under asking price and/or ask for concessions because many sellers are willing to negotiate.” Leading indicators Indicators of homebuying demand and activity Value (if applicable) Recent change Year-over-year change Source Daily average 30-year fixed mortgage rate 7.09% (May 22) Up from 6.99% a week earlier, but down from a 5-month high of 7.52% 4 weeks earlier Up from 6.95% Mortgage News Daily Weekly average 30-year fixed mortgage rate 7.02% (week ending May 16) Down from 5-month high of 7.22% 2 weeks earlier Up from 6.39% Freddie Mac Mortgage-purchase applications (seasonally adjusted) Declined 1% from a week earlier (as of week ending May 17) Down 11% Mortgage Bankers Association Redfin Homebuyer Demand Index (seasonally adjusted) Essentially unchanged from a month earlier (as of week ending May 19) Down 11% Redfin Homebuyer Demand Index, a measure of requests for tours and other homebuying services from Redfin agents Touring activity Up 31% from the start of the year (as of May 19) At this time last year, it was up 22% from the start of 2023 ShowingTime, a home touring technology company Google searches for “home for sale” Down 8% from a month earlier (as of May 19) Down 18% Google Trends Key housing-market data U.S. highlights: Four weeks ending May 19, 2024Redfin’s national metrics include data from 400+ U.S. metro areas, and is based on homes listed and/or sold during the period. Weekly housing-market data goes back through 2015. Subject to revision. Four weeks ending May 19, 2024 Year-over-year change Notes Median sale price $387,600 4% All-time high Median asking price $420,250 6.6% All-time high Median monthly mortgage payment $2,854 at a 7.02% mortgage rate 10.5% $18 below all-time high set during the 4 weeks ending April 28 Pending sales 89,303 -4.2% Biggest decline since 4 weeks ending Feb. 25 (except the prior 4-week period, when sales declined 4.4%) New listings 102,671 8.5% Active listings 901,194 14.8% Months of supply 3.2 +0.6 pts. 4 to 5 months of supply is considered balanced, with a lower number indicating seller’s market conditions Share of homes off market in two weeks 44.9% Down from 49% Median days on market 33 +3 days Share of homes sold above list price 31.3% Down from 34% Share of homes with a price drop 6.4% +2 pts. Highest level since Nov. 2022 Average sale-to-list price ratio 99.5% -0.1 pts. Metro-level highlights: Four weeks ending May 19, 2024Redfin’s metro-level data includes the 50 most populous U.S. metros. Select metros may be excluded from time to time to ensure data accuracy. Metros with biggest year-over-year increases Metros with biggest year-over-year decreases Notes Median sale price Anaheim, CA (20.1%)Detroit (16.9%)San Jose, CA (12.9%)Oakland, CA (12.5%) West Palm Beach, FL (12%) San Antonio (-1%) Fort Worth, TX (-0.6%) Decreased in 2 metros Pending sales San Jose, CA (18.4%)San Francisco (8%)San Diego (4.3%)Newark, NJ (3.6%)Columbus, OH (3.3%) West Palm Beach, FL (-15.3%)Atlanta (-14.9%)Houston (-14.5%)Phoenix (-12.3%)Providence, RI (-11.6%) Increased in 10 metros New listings San Jose, CA (36.7%)Montgomery County, PA (26.2%)Phoenix (26.1%)Seattle (21.2%)San Diego (21%) Atlanta (-8.1%)Chicago (-4.9%)Detroit (-3.9%)Virginia Beach, VA (-2.6%)Newark, NJ (-2%)Warren, MI (-1.8%) Decreased in 6 metros To view the full report, including charts, please visit:https://www.redfin.com/news/housing-market-update-pending-sales-fall-prices-increase
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