Q&A With Radian’s Rebecca Smith
A Conversation About Past, Present and Future Rebecca Smith is vice president of business development for asset management (including single family rental) with Radian. She has more than 20 years of experience in the Real Estate and Mortgage Default industry. Smith helped create a vendor network and establish best practices for the valuations operation, which led to her managing the vendor network for all of REO management. In her current role, she continues to support business growth by managing communications, maintaining strong relationships, and leading the company’s initiative of providing the highest level of client service. Can you share a little about your background in the asset management industry? I started my career in default servicing in the late 90s and moved into REO Asset Management during the Great Recession period. Since joining Radian in 2008, I have held management positions in Asset Management, Valuation Services, Vendor Management, Client Relations and currently in Sales and Business Development. Throughout my career I have worked with National and Regional Banks, GSE’s, Private Equity Firms, Mortgage Servicers and Investors of all kinds. Each has their own approach to residential real estate which has allowed me to develop broad perspective and insight. How has the industry changed throughout your career? The mortgage and real estate markets are cyclical, and I have seen it all over the last 20 plus years. When I first entered the default servicing industry, default volume was steady. But during the financial crisis in 2007-2010, defaults and real estate owned (REO) volumes skyrocketed to at an all-time high with some listing agents managing 200-300 REO listings at a time. When institutional investors began scooping up these assets, it launched the single-family rental (SFR) asset class. Since then, SFRs have been gaining popularity and maturing into a highly valued asset class. Meanwhile, REO volume has dwindled to all-time lows. To keep up with these shifting market conditions, our industry has adopted new technology to make us smarter, faster, and more agile. Technology has made a huge difference in how business is done now compared to early on in my career. We now have portfolio management tools, property management workflow systems, and valuation tools that use artificial intelligence, automation, and machine learning. How has the COVID-19 pandemic shaped the sector? The effects of the COVID-19 pandemic have had a striking impact on the real estate market over the last two years. It has created challenges for many in the REO industry, while dealing major gains to those investing in SFRs. The home, already the most valuable asset for many, became the safe haven for millions of people working from home. Historically low interest rates, shifting preferences for suburban housing, and remote work trends have driven demand for bigger houses away from crowded urban areas. But with housing supply at historic lows, competition has driven price appreciation higher and higher. By the end of 2021, the median estimated home price in the U.S. rose to $307,022 compared to $252,597 recorded at the onset of the pandemic in March 2020, according to the Radian Home Price Index provided by Red Bell Real Estate, LLC. And, as more people have been priced out or frightened away from the competitive purchase market, the demand for single-family rentals has exploded. Meanwhile, for much of the pandemic, defaults were halted. Under the CARES Act, borrowers with a pandemic-related financial hardship and a government-backed mortgage were entitled to up to 12 months of forbearance, allowing qualified homeowners to defer their mortgage payments for up to a year. Over the course of 18 months, the Federal moratorium on single-family foreclosures and evictions was extended numerous times and additional protection against foreclosure for post-COVID defaults were put in place by the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) through the end of 2021. These measures allowed homeowners who may have been unable to pay their mortgage to stay in their homes. For nearly two years the foreclosure and REO market remained dormant due to the moratoriums. This has been a challenge for practitioners in the default space who have been sitting on the sidelines. What current trends are you seeing for assets? There have been several interesting trends in response to the current market dynamics. Despite the competitive market offering major leverage to sellers, many homeowners are staying put and holding on to equity or making the best use of it. Consequently, supply remains extremely low. In fact, in December 2021, the number of actively listed homes for sale was at the lowest level ever recorded by the Radian Home Price Index since it began tracking in 2007. In response to that, investors are getting creative. We saw an uptick in rehabs over the last year, but, unfortunately, supply chain issues and labor shortages across the country have thrown a wrench into projects. SFR investors have turned to creating their own inventory with the emergence of build-to-rent (BTR) communities. And, while some iBuyers have struggled, overall iBuyer activity and consumer direct acquisitions remain steady. What challenges have you observed over the last year in the SFR market? While limited supply and high demand continue to make acquisition challenging, the biggest story of 2021 was a shortage of materials and labor that disrupted creation of new housing supply. Beginning at the onset of the pandemic, the global supply chain has been under extreme strain. Bottlenecks at shipping ports have tied the global fleet of container ships in knots, triggering a surge in the cost to ship materials. There are also shortages of essentials like paint, nails, windows, and lumber driving prices higher and creating major delays to receive materials. On top of all this, the construction labor market is severely understaffed as many skilled workers left the trade during the pandemic. According to Associated Builders and Contractors, the construction industry needs an additional one million craft professionals over the next two years to meet demand. What opportunities are there for SFR investors in this market? Build-to-rent will remain a key opportunity for SFR investors, as the housing shortage is
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