Number of Homes for Sale Dwindling Again with Little Relief in Sight
Supply Shortage to Persist Well into H1 2022, as Contract Volume Is Significantly Outpacing Net New Listings November Median Closed Price of All Single-Family Listings Saw 14.6% Increase Year-Over-Year Homes Under $200K Remain Elusive While Net New Listing Activity Above $600K Has Risen More than 40% Annually U.S. housing supply is dwindling once again as homes continue to fly off the market at record prices, bucking the trend that typically sees market activity slow in the winter months. In November, we witnessed a nearly 15% decrease in net new property listings on the market compared to last year, coupled with a growing number of homes going into contract at elevated prices. For homebuyers across the country, we expect the shortage of homes for sale to extend well into 2022, setting us up for additional price growth in the spring – albeit likely at a lower rate than the record rise we saw throughout 2021. 1. For the month of November, 199,259 net new listings were placed on the market which represents a 14.9% decrease versus November 2020. Over the last 52 weeks there have been 3,214,852 net new listings placed on the market. This represents a 6.1% increase versus the 3,029,983 net new listings over the year prior. Broken out by price bins, the $0-$200k bin has accounted for 17.4% of net new listings over the last 52 weeks, the $200k-$400k bin at 40.8% of net new listings, the $400k-$600k bin at 21.4% of net new listings, the $600k-$1m bin at 13.7% of net new listings, and the $1m+ bin at 6.7% of net new listings. 2. The total volume of net new listings over the last 52 weeks for $0-$200k and $200k-$400k price bins is down 19.1% and 2.8% compared to the year prior. The total volume of net new listings for $400k-$600k, $600k-$1m and $1m+ price bins are up 29.2%, 44.1% and 42.4%, over the same period. For the month of November net new listing volume for the $0-$200k and $200k-$400k and $1m+ price bins are down 34.3%, 18.3% and 10.2%, respectively, compared to November 2020, while the $400k-$600k and $600k-$1m price bins are up 6.6% and 5.6% over the same period. 3. For the month of November, there were 305,063 listings that went under contract nationwide which is a 5.3% increase versus November 2020. Over the last 52 weeks, 3,447,686 properties have gone into contract. This represents a 1.5% increase versus the 3,397,339 properties that went into contract over the year prior. Broken out by price bins, the $0-$200k bin has accounted for 17.9% of total contract volume over the last 52 weeks, the $200k-$400k bin at 40.9% of total contract volume, the $400k-$600k bin at 20.9% of total contract volume, the $600k-$1m bin at 13.4% of total contract volume, and the $1m+ bin at 6.9% of total contract volume. 4. The total volume of listings going into contract over the last 52 weeks for the $0-$200k and $200k-$400k price bins are down 23.0% and 7.0% compared to the year prior. The total volume of listings going into contract for the $400k-$600k, $600k-$1m, and $1m+ price bins are up 22.6%, 40.3%, and 46.8%, over the same period. For the month of November, contract volume for the $0-$200k and $200k-$400k price bins are down 7.7% and 2.1%, respectively, compared to November 2020, while the $400k-$600k, $600k-$1m, and $1m+ price bins are up 23.4%, 27.3%, and 10.8%, over the same period. 5. For the week ending December 3rd 2021, the median price of all single-family listings in the US was $379,339 and the median closed price was $387,988. On a year-over-year basis, the median price of all single-family listings is up 8.1% and the median price of closed listings is up 14.6%. Month-over-month, the median price of single-family listings is down 1.5% and the median price of closed listings is up 2.0%.
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